Thursday, February 12, 2026

Critical risk management is important but my study of a NZ prison unit highlights why we can't lose sight of climate and culture too


Introduction 

In Aotearoa New Zealand, health and safety is largely risk based and proposed to be framed towards critical risk management including through the new HSWA amendment bill

In 2024 I carried out a study of a high-performing residential prison unit (click this link for the full thesis).  One insight was that low incident rates weren’t explained by controls alone. Fences, cameras and procedures were present — but what truly shaped outcomes for prisoners, the community and staff was the social climate and culture of the prison unit.

Strong, consistent relationships. Clear boundaries. High shared standards. Distributed decision-making. A pro-social community that balanced safety, rehabilitation, wellbeing and whānau impact — all at once.  Controls matter. But when controls fail — or are absent — culture fills the gap.

In complex social environments like prisons, health, safety and wellbeing risks are managed by controls, but outcomes are achieved through the quality of day-to-day human interaction.

If we focus only on managing risk, we miss the opportunity to shape the conditions in which risk is created — or reduced — in the first place.  🔗 Read the full article (and thesis link) here.


Risk Management Not Enough: Lessons from a New Zealand Prison Unit

Health and Safety in Aotearoa New Zealand has a strong emphasis on risk management, clearly embedded in the Health and Safety at Work Act 2015.  Over time, this approach has been extended further to critical risk management which has become a central component of the new H&S parliamentary bill. 

With critical risk management, executive teams and governing boards narrow their focus to the biggest “STKY” risks — Stuff That’ll Kill You. This approach sounds sensible at first glance but a subsequent media brief by the New Zealand Institute of Safety Management identifies why health and safety is not that simple.

Solving Health and Safety problems has never been that simple.  Risk and critical risk management, on their own, have never provided all the answers for keeping people safe and well — particularly in complex, social work environments.

In 2024, I completed a study of a well-functioning residential prison unit in New Zealand (click this link for the full thesis). This prison unit was not defined by additional controls, but by strong unit culture and a commitment to positive outcomes. It operated as a pro-social community in a context where rehabilitation outcomes, and whānau wellbeing were considered together with staff safety and community safety.

Following in-depth interviews with more than 20 staff and volunteers, one insight stood out clearly: organisations cannot achieve health, safety and wellbeing outcomes through critical controls alone.

Disclaimer: I currently work for the New Zealand Department of Corrections as a health and safety professional, but I undertook the study under a separate contract as an independent researcher.  This article is written through this independent lens. 

Risk Management and Culture should not be merged

Culture development is not the same as risk management — but both are important.

At its core, risk management is a reductive process. Individual risks are identified, risk-specific controls are assessed for effectiveness, and controls are implemented to reduce exposure. 

In control hierarchies, engineering controls sit at the top of this hierarchy, and the gold standard is to eliminate or minimise risk through design.  It is analytical, structured, and largely top-down — and for technical factors, it works well.

Work factors like relationships, communication, and decision-making are considered ineffective as risk-controls in legislation and organisational hierarchies.  In truth, these human, social attributes do not fit neatly into the reductive risk management process.  Communication and relationship building are not risk specific and are generally outcome oriented and holistic in nature.  People don’t build strong relationships to manage a specific risk, they do it for more human reasons and sometimes it can simply feel like the right thing to do.  This might be a poor control for an individual risk but it provides a strength that is precisely what risk management lacks: culture is not topic or risk-specific. It influences everything.

This human nature was highlighted by a prison officer in my study:  A first indicator is a feeling.  You can walk into the compound in a unit and get a feeling about whether things are working.  You can tell whether there is low tension and people are engaging with you and smiling. 

How do teams work together to implement and maintain critical controls? What happens when critical controls are missing, or fail? How do teams operate in ways that change the risk context and so reduce the need for those controls in the first place?  

These are not engineering questions. They are cultural ones.

Prison Units as High-Risk, High-Social Environments

Residential prison units can be most easily recognised by their controls and risk management controls could be seen all through the unit I studied.  There were high fences, barbed wire, bars and locks.  Staff wore vests and on-body cameras, and carried out cell searches and rub-down searches.  But when staff described what enabled the unit to function so well and with low levels of incidents the emphasis was different.

“I think it's just a blend of a lot of things that work.” “It's a standalone unit. It's got a big element of that.  Employment opportunities that are really good.  Good staff – good team.  A good rununga.  The classification of prisoners definitely helps as well.  The community concept - therapeutic community concept but without a therapy function.  Good events – whanau days, BBQs, Hangi, and maintaining high standards.” 

Prisons are inherently high-risk environments — but they are also deeply social ones.

The unit I studied held 80 men, held together in confined, tightly knit communities with lots of activity with people regularly coming and going. In this environment, Custodial officers were tasked with managing these men as prisoners but also encouraging and supporting them to achieve positive change. There is also a mix of orientations between staff groups.  Nurses regularly visited the units, but their role required them to consider the men as patients. Corrections educators would also visit the unit to work with the men, but they would consider them as students and learners. Staff themselves also form their own internal social groups. Meanwhile prisoners have to navigate complex hierarchies within the unit with gangs and individual power relationships, and also maintain ongoing connections with whānau/family, and communities outside the prison walls.  

These factors are complex and the relationship between outcomes and risk in this environment is not static and are shaped continuously by human interaction.

In the unit I studied, relationships with the men in the unit were prioritised — not as a “nice to have”, but as an effective way to understand people’s needs and personality traits, spot emerging issues early, and address them before they escalated into incidents.  But the day-to-day interactions were not done as discrete ‘risk management controls’.  Instead they were a way to enable positive outcomes and manage risks in general.  It was considered the right thing to do for the good of the men, themselves and the community in general.  This underlying intention is important because the men could tell if the staff member was not being authentic! 

Strong Relationships Do Not Mean Weak Boundaries

To be clear: positive relationships did not mean blurred boundaries or vulnerability to coercion. Quite the opposite.  Staff in this unit demonstrated a strong shared understanding of professional boundaries that were consistently communicated, monitored and maintained across the team.  Less experienced staff were buddied-up with an established team member.  

This culture of collective consistency extended well beyond relationships.  The unit maintained very high and consistent standards in keeping the day to day regime running on time, and with various rules that staff and the men were expected to adhere to e.g. keeping cells tidy, clothing standards, fair portions of food for all.

This culture was set and maintained by a stable core group of around eight experienced staff — spread across two shifts — acted collectively as leaders of the culture.  They buddied themselves up with new staff in the team and actively coached and supported them from week to week, to maintain a consistent unit culture.  Rather than relying on formal authority alone, they set and maintained shared standards for how work was done, how decisions were made, and how people communicated with one another.

Because of this consistency built over time, decision-making could be highly distributed. Staff were empowered to talk directly with the men to solve problems themselves, supported through mentoring and coaching rather than constant escalation up to the unit leader.  When things went wrong the team would focus on learning from it, rather than assigning blame.

This positive, relational culture also extended to include the 80 odd men held in the unit.  The men  were encouraged to contribute positively to the unit community and even maintained a Rununga, a prisoner committee. As a result, many risks were managed proactively through day-to-day interaction, rather than reactively through formal controls.  

What this illustrates is that health, safety and wellbeing risk management does not occur in isolation. In social environments like prisons, it operates within a complex human context that shapes how risks are perceived, how controls are applied, and what gets noticed, reported, or acted upon.

So What Do We Mean by “Culture”?

Culture is often described as ‘the way we do things around here’.  Through my study I was able to build on that definition.  It was able to observe that an organisation can provide direction, policies, resources and risk management controls.  But the ‘prison unit culture’ in this unit was ‘the way that staff work together with the men to build relationships, interact throughout the day, maintain standards, communicate, implement policy and process, make decisions and solve problems.

Importantly, the culture of the unit was also a bottom up phenomenon. While influenced by external factors, it was set and maintained locally.  This highlighted how organisational culture is just a collection of individual team cultures but also how culture change cannot be imposed from the top down. It must be nurtured from the bottom up.  This stands in contrast to critical risk management, which is typically rule-based, centrally designed, and legislated for. Critical controls are established, resourced, and governed from above.  Frontline staff can certainly input into it, but it comes from the centre or ‘national office’.  Conversely, culture can not be controlled in the same way.

Beyond “Safety Culture”

The term “safety culture” is widely used, but my work raises questions about the term.  I found that decisions in the prison unit were rarely made with “safety” as a standalone objective. Frontline leaders and staff were constantly balancing multiple considerations at once: safety, security, wellbeing, rehabilitation, whānau impact, organisational reputation, and resource constraints. 

Culture, in this sense, is holistic. It is the collective prioritisation of many outcomes at once. A culture can include safety — but it is never only about safety. There is no such thing as safety culture in isolation.

In summary

In high risk work environments like prison units, risk management and controls are important. But they are not sufficient by themselves.  When controls are missing, or fail, it is culture that fills the gap. Culture shapes how people work together to respond, adapt, communicate, and recover. It influences the inherent risk context itself — for example, a prison unit with a strong pro-social culture will have a significantly lower baseline risk of violence than one without.  Violence can still happen, as it can anywhere, but it is much less likely.

Culture cannot be engineered like a control system and it can not be easily legislated for in a parliamentary bill.  Legislation can enable culture but it cant create it.  Instead culture must be fostered from the ground up, and given space to develop but also supported. Leaders and teams need permission to shape their own local cultures.  

Organisations that focus only on critical controls are managing risk. But we also need to remember that organisations also need to invest in culture to shape the conditions in which risk is created — or reduced — in the first place, and in complex, social environments, that difference matters.  If the culture in a prison unit can be pro-social and positive then it can be in any social environment!

 
 

Thursday, January 22, 2026

Complexity of the modern world and systems thinking

 I grew up in a world of tie-die t-shirts in the 20th century and left school at a time where people didn’t have mobile phones…unless they we’re Yuppy’s (what’s a yuppy?  Google it!). We also didn’t generally have email or tablets or even laptops. In this world, Snapchat wasn’t even a twinkle in Facebooks eye and IT Architects were a local Wellington business rather than a job title.  But the world was also in the middle of a leap in the use of technology…and here we are now.  This increase in complexity and technology which has led to a fundamental shift in how we need to work together better to be successful. 

The purpose of sharing this story is to help others also make sense of what underpins new ways of working that are becoming more present; like Agile project management, Human Centred Design, Safety II and Digitisation so we can better connect to the why, what and how and be in action more effectively.  This blog is an experment in exploring better ways of working that spark our collective intelligence      

Research shows that with increasing complexity and reliance on technology, we need to work in ways that maintain, reinforce and build our human connections.  This blog about exploring the new breed of disciplines and initiatives that spark people’s collective intelligence 

The aim of discovering the spark blog and consultancy is to explore ways that people manage to thriving, not just surviving in this changing 21st century working world.  I've been interested in the changing nature of how we work and live together for some time now.  I remember getting our first Commodore 64 computer at home and our first Apple Macs at primary school and how that changed the way I sat and learnt - or sometimes just played computer games.  Haven't we come along way since then and on so many different technological and social levels! 
 

The way we live together and interact in our communities has changed dramatically since the start of the 19th century.  Here is a very simple review.  In 1800 over 70% of the worlds population lived rural and 30% in urban areas, with even less in metropolitan cities.  Now, 200 years later, up to 80% live in urban areas with a high proportion of those in metropolitan areas.  Only 20% of people now live in the countryside.

This urban shift, has dramatically changed the way we work together and organize ourselves and how societies function leading to a number of developments and revolutions and an increasing speed of change.
1820 - 1840 - Industrial revolution

1877 - 1910 - Communication / Telephone
1880 - 1910 - Transportation / Motor Car
1960 - 1970 - Computer / technology 

1970s - Mobile Phone Technology
1980 - 1990 - Network / World Wide Web 

1990 - 2000 - Mobile phone use
2000 - 2010 - Mobile computing

As you can see there were a number of technological advancements that have happened through the 20th century.  These advancements have changed the nature of our working environments and our work situations and the ways we work together and interact with each other. 

These changes that have led to an increased speed and complexity in how we share information and in doing so, its changed our expectations of one another and changed the way we interact together.  In short it seems to have made the social systems that we work in more complex. 


Systems and Complexity 

What do I mean by this and what is the difference between simple and complex systems?

The way I might describe it is that Systems thinking is a way of making sense of different situations we work within.  What we observe every day and what researchers have confirmed is that different sorts of systems are in motion around us all the time.  Systems theory is something that I've become quite interested in and in 2024 did a Masters level research project using a systems theory approach.  So ill share my simple ‘every-day’ perspective and you can also click on the picture for a fuller introduction to Systems theory or YouTube other explanations. 


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GRnkggRSIDY 

What many of observe every day and what researchers have confirmed is that different sorts of systems that are going on around us have definable characteristics and can be grouped into one of four categories.

  1. Simple systems = easily knowable.
  2. Complicated systems = not simple, but still knowable.
  3. Complex = not fully knowable
  4. Chaotic = neither knowable nor predictable.
In a workshop I attended around 2022, David Snowdon used the Cynefin four-quadrant framework created by Dave Snowden to show the relationship of these categories. Let’s use Cynefin to consider some everyday examples.

 What are some real life examples?



A house is complicated
My car is complicated
This blog is complicated
A computer is complicated 
Teamwork in a small business is complicated
The biodiesel distillation process is complicated



My household is complex
City traffic is complex
Our thoughts are complex
The internet is complex
Teamwork in a big business is complex
Customer experience is complex


A tent is simple
My skateboard is simple
A word is simple
An instruction is simple
Teamwork for a sole trader is simple



A house fire is chaotic 
Cairo city traffic is chaotic   
A cybersecurity attack is chaotic
earthquake is chaotic
Teamwork in the national party right now is chaotic
A crisis incident is chaotic
  

Insight: The interesting lesson is that as people have increasingly moved closer together into metropolitan cities and technology has advanced its increased the pace of life and changed our expectations and frequency of our social interactions.  

Insight: A key insight is that each type of system is managed or led best through different leadership styles and using different management approaches and tools. Understanding the differences enables us to lead, manage, influence and operate within situations more effectively.

For those of us working in organisations, our work and industrial environment is made up of a wide range of interacting systems. 

  • Functional teams and larger business units
  • Customer management system
  • Financial management systems
  • Health and safety in higher risk operations
  • Supplier management system
  • Asset management system
  • People management approach
  • Project management system 


The technological and social changes we're living through have led to our every day working and social systems becoming more complicated or complex which means that our leadership and management approaches also needs to adapt from what was used in the 20th century.  Each of these professional disciplines has its own nuances and uniqueness, but there are also similarities.  

Because the different systems have varying characteristics the ways that people operate best within them, learn about them and also try to influence them also changes.  

Insight: Many of our work systems have shifted from being more complicated in the 20th century, to now being more complex.  As a result, the way that we need to work to thrive within the system or to influence it also needs to change.    

Systems thinking is a way of thinking about overall patterns rather than specific elements or problems.  It helps us find solutions that simultaneously solve different problems and leverage solutions for the wider system or organisation.

So what are some of the key characterisics of the different types?

Since many work situations have evolved from being complicated to complex, lets explore some key differences and characteristics of complex systems?

Complicated Situations and Systems

Complex Situations and System

Large scale – very many parts

Large scale– built up from large numbers of mutually interacting parts

Often closed systems

Open and influenced by other systems

Require significant coordination or specialized technical expertise.

Expertise is a factor but only one contributor to success.  

Outcomes or outputs are fully predictable - high certainty of outcome repetition (e.g. product quality)

Not overly predictable (Low chance of repeated outcomes). Context matters.  Individual systems must be understood in their own context.

Parts play specific functional roles and are guided by very simple rules.

Collective behavior feeds back into the behavior of individual parts.   Parts learn and adapt from experience.

Not inherently robust in that parts cannot be removed so must build redundancy into the system (e.g. by containing multiple copies of a part).

Inherently robust due to adaptability so can survive the removal of parts by adapting.

Total is sum of the parts so can be dismantled to parts to be understood

The whole is greater than parts so cannot be understood by examining parts. The structure and behaviour of a complex system is not solely dependent on the structure and behaviour of its component parts. Instead the interactions among the parts plays a big role​

Error can be engineered out

Failure and error is normal and expected

My key insight is that during our day to day activities we all work or lead in mixture of different situations, ranging from simple to complicated, complex and sometimes chaotic. We especially need to be particularly aware of the leadership approaches and management tools that are best suited to either a complicated technical situation or complex situation.

The Table below looks further at different leadership roles that can be employed depending on whether one is dealing with a complicated or complex system.

Leadership for Complicated systems
Leadership for Complex adaptive systems

  • Define Roles – setting job and task descriptions
  • Make Decisions – find the ‘best’ choice
  • Tight Structuring – use chain of command and prioritise or limit simple action
  • Apply rules and beliefs – refer to known rules and principles
  • Apply Knowledge – decide and tell others what to do
  • Stay the Course – align and maintain focus

  • Build Relationships – work with patterns of interaction
  • Make Sense – collective interpretation
  • Foster Loose Coupling – support communities of practice and add more degrees of freedom
  • Learning – act/learn/plan at the same time
  • Notice Emergent Directions – building on what works
  • Understand values and customers -

 

Table: Different leadership roles for different systems

 
As the tendancy towards complexity continues and as the pace of change also evolves, as managers, leaders and other 'actors' we need to keep evolving and adapting the balance of ways that we work with others to achieve outcomes. 
 

Most work situations will have simple, complicated and complex systems in play togther.  The art of leadership and management lies in having a toolkit of approaches (table 3), and being aware of when to use which approach.     

Table 3
Operational level
Complicated Systems
Complex Systems
Leadership
Authoritative, highly rganized leadership
Servant / Level 5 leadership

Engineering design
Human Centred Design
Risk Assessment
Analytical
Social
System modeling
Static – point in time
Dynamic - visual
Contractual / Procurement
Supplier contracting
Alliance Partnership
Project Methodology
Waterfall
Agile
Event Learning
Event Investigations
Learning Teams
Personal Learning
Functional coaching
Transformational Coaching







This blog is about growing understanding and sharing tools to help NZ people work well together in 21st century.  I will touch on innovation, wellbeing, managing risks, health and safety, project management